Pleno-Alignment Framework for Stock Trend Prediction
Yongcan Luo, Jiahao Zheng, Zhengjie Yang, Ning Chen, Dapeng Oliver Wu
City University of Hong Kong
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摘要与影响
Predicting stock trends is a highly rewarding but high-risk endeavor due to the complex interplay of market dynamics, irrational behaviors, and diverse sentiments. Previous studies have used time-series analysis on historical prices or sentiment analysis on textual information. However, these methods often fail to capture the dynamic interactions between text and time-series modalities and overlook the different perspectives embedded in textual data. To address these limitations, we propose the pleno-alignment framework (PAFrame) that enhances multimodal stock information through intermodal and intramodal alignment to capture market dynamics. Our framework first integrates textual and time-series data in a shared representation space to learn modal-invariant information. To tackle divergent sentiments in textual data, we employ a contrastive learning approach to extract abstract semantic meanings from objective and subjective perspectives, thereby improving the robustness of language representations. Finally, we use a hybrid approach that explicitly combines cross-attention mechanisms to create a unified representation and utilizes prompts to implicitly guide language models with numerical financial indicators for final prediction. Our comprehensive experiments on five real-world datasets show that PAFrame outperforms existing methods in predicting stock trends.
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学科主题
计算机 / AIStock Market Forecasting Methods
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting · Sentiment Analysis and Opinion Mining
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