An empirical behavioral order-driven model with price limit rules
Gao-Feng Gu, Xiong Xiong, Hai-Chuan Xu, Zhang We, Yongjie Zhang, Wei Chen, Wei‐Xing Zhou
East China University of Science and Technology Tianjin University Shenzhen Stock Exchange
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摘要与影响
We propose an empirical behavioral order-driven (EBOD) model with price limit rules, which consists of an order placement process and an order cancellation process. All the ingredients of the model are determined based on the empirical microscopic regularities in the order flows of stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. The model can reproduce the main stylized facts in real markets. Computational experiments unveil that asymmetric setting of price limits will cause the stock price to diverge exponentially when the up price limit is higher than the down price limit and to vanish vice versa. We also find that asymmetric price limits have little influence on the correlation structure of the return series and the volatility series, but cause remarkable changes in the average returns and the tail exponents of returns. Our EBOD model provides a suitable computational experiment platform for academics, market participants, and policy makers.
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经济 / 管理Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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