Consistency of the drift parameter estimator for the discretized fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac{1}{2})$
Kęstutis Kubilius, Yuliya Mishura, Kostiantyn Ralchenko, Oleg Seleznjev
内容与影响
We consider the Langevin equation which contains an unknown drift parameter $\theta$ and where the noise is modeled as fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac{1}{2})$. The solution corresponds to the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. We construct an estimator, based on discrete observations in time, of the unknown drift parameter, that is similar in form to the maximum likelihood estimator for the drift parameter in Langevin equation with standard Brownian motion. It is assumed that the interval between observations is $n^{-1}$, i.e. tends to zero (high-frequency data) and the number of observations increases to infinity as $n^{m}$ with $m>1$. It is proved that for strictly positive $\theta$ the estimator is strongly consistent for any $m>1$, while for $\theta\leq0$ it is consistent when $m>\frac{1}{2H}$.
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Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Stochastic processes and statistical mechanics
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