Spatial-Temporal Evolution of Maritime Accident Hot Spots in the East China Sea: A Space-Time Cube Representation

As public concern for maritime safety grows, there is a pressing need to delve deeper into the root causes of maritime accidents and develop effective preventive strategies. Spatial-temporal analysis stands out as a powerful approach to pinpointing accident hot spots. While previous research has shed light on the spatial aspects of these incidents, a comprehensive understanding of their temporal dimensions remains elusive. This paper bridges this gap by leveraging the Space-Time Cube tool in conjunction with traditional Kernel Density analysis to chart the spatial-temporal dynamics of maritime accident hot spots. Focusing on the East China Sea, a region notorious for its high incidence of maritime accidents and home to numerous world-class ports, we present a case study that offers fresh insights. Data spanning from 1994 to 2020, sourced from the Lloyd’s List Intelligence (LLI) database, reveal the evolving landscape of maritime accidents in the area. Notably, since 2005, the Yangtze River Delta Region in China has emerged as a persistent hot spot for accidents, underscoring its significance in maritime safety discourse. Furthermore, our analysis from the 2010s detects a new hot spot expanding towards the southwest of Kaohsiung Port, China, signaling a burgeoning area of concern for maritime safety. While the Fujian coast of China has seen its share of accidents, it is not qualified as a hot spot zone. The Space-Time Cube proves to be an indispensable tool in unraveling the progression of maritime accidents, and our findings indicate that maritime accidents in certain areas may not be merely random occurrences but exhibit intricate patterns.