Skin Temperature as a Marker of Physical Fitness Profile: The Impact of High-Speed Running in Professional Soccer Players

High-speed running (HSR) has the greatest physiological impact on soccer players. It is closely linked to neuromuscular fatigue and muscle damage post-match, emphasizing the role that load monitoring plays in both performance and recovery. The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between match locomotor demands and the relative change in skin temperature (%ΔT) following official matches. A professional soccer team was analyzed during 14 regular-season matches. Infrared thermography (IRT) assessments were conducted before the match and up to 36 h after the match. The analyzed regions included posterior protocols of the lower limb. The kinematic variables of the match were obtained through a GPS device. Players were classified into high- and low-load groups based on the median values of HSR distance (372 m) and total distance (9675 m). Linear mixed-effects models showed that players in the high HSR group (≥372 m) demonstrated greater post-match decreases in %ΔT, particularly in the hamstring region (β = −1.79 ± 0.54 °C, 95% CI: −2.87 to −0.72, p = 0.001, R2 = 0.18), with a moderate-to-large effect size (ES = 0.67). Total distance also explained temperature change in the hamstrings (β = −1.46 ± 0.73 °C, p = 0.04). These findings suggest that post-match skin temperature reduction is sensitive to high-intensity running exposure, supporting IRT as a complementary internal load monitoring tool.